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What if . . . global cooling has begun!

Here’s an interesting story on CNN.com about how unusually cold the country has been, and there’s no sign of it letting up in the near term.

What if global warming disaster was totally wrong and instead the world is facing global cooling disaster, which means that we are about to go into a deep freeze with the top third of the United States and the top half of Europe under ice? Here’s an excerpt from my BHM Issue No. 116 editorial, “How do you save freedom in America”:

“Rather than global warming, earth is probably due to enter its next ice age. Global warming activists base their evidence on about a thousand years of climate change, but they conveniently ignore the much more compelling climate data of Antarctica ice cores which show temperatures and CO2 levels for the last 400,000 plus years.

In a well developed scientific model known as the Milankovich cycles, it is the tilt of the earth (varying over 41,000 years), the shape of earth’s orbit (varying over 100,000 years), and the earth’s wobble (varying over 26,000 years) that accounts for most of earth’s changing climate. This model has been under refinement by climate scientists since 1842, and as recently as 1999 the British journal Nature published a graph correlating Antarctica ice cores taken in the 1990s with the Milankovich cycles. It showed roughly 110,000-year cycles, with ice ages spanning about 100,000 years and warming trends lasting about 12,000. It has been 12,000 years since the end of the last ice age, but let any scientist bring up the possibility of global cooling rather than global warming too loudly and he will not only be labeled a kook, but run the risk of losing funding at his Big Government-supported university.”

The only question there is for the world is what is the actual length of the warming and cooling cycles that affect earth. Scientists know from ice cores that global warming comes on slowly, spanning tens of thousands of years, while global cooling comes on quickly, perhaps in as little as a decade or two. The geologic record indicates that global warming is now coming to an end and global cooling is at hand, but that could mean, in geologic time scales, that global cooling could be as much as 10,000 years off, but probably not more than that, or it could be only a few hundreds years, even less, away.

But what if . . . dum de dum dum . . . it has already begun, and this winter is our first “killer” winter!

I’m engaging in wild speculation, of course, but it’s not much wilder than the speculation about global warming. In fact, science is on my side. I have 400,000 years of ice cores backing up my wild speculation. Global warming doomsayers have about a thousand years of iffy data.

Global warming enthusiasts are correct though — the earth is warming. But it’s always warming, unless it’s cooling. It’s never not doing one or the other. The problem is that the ice core data tells us that warming is gradual and the last part of it, what we call the interglacial, lasts anywhere from 10-20,000 years, while cooling is relatively sudden and the really cold part of it lasts for about 100,000 years.

I don’t know about you, but that bothers me. In fact, it must really bother me because I talk about this subject in my December 7, 2009 post too.

3 Responses to “What if . . . global cooling has begun!”

  1. Stu Says:

    Just thinking about the same thing in Ireland…. the recent weather also here and the UK (and continental Europe too!) is really unusually cold and I’m personally half convinced the new ice age we’ve been warned about is starting now!

  2. Stephen B Says:

    With all due respect, Stu and Dave, we get one winter that is a mere replay of the winters we routinely had up until 20 to 25 years ago and it freaks people out as “global cooling.” Even the media is talking about the cold now as if it’s something extreme.

    It just goes to show how warm we really have become in the past few decades. Then we’re given a few snowfalls in Europe and an honest to goodness cold wave in the US and “everything’s changed.”

    I *HOPE* that this shows we have more time than the global warming alarmists are giving us. On the other hand, Boston had one of the warmest Novembers on record, and December, while cooler than the historical norm, wasn’t really any big deal in its overall coolness. Despite all the “cold” weather around the US, and reading the stories carefully, I haven’t been reading headlines announcing lots of new cold weather “records.” Instead, all I see are lots of “_____’s weather the coldest in 2(*) years.”

    I like snow and I hope we have more cold, but I’m not convinced the warming cycle, regardless of cause, is indicated as being broke by one *normal* winter.

  3. roger Says:

    hi dave
    below i have added a link to a british newspaper carrying a similar story seems some of the scientists have their doubt about MMGW to.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1242011/DAVID-ROSE-The-mini-ice-age-starts-here.html

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